silkywhisky
Glenfiddich / Speyside

GLENFIDDICH Fire & Cane

0.66× hidden gem NAS rating 4.5/5 · n=39
cheapest
€44.36
thewhiskyshop
intrinsic
€74.73
N
3

Is it worth the price?

GLENFIDDICH Fire & Cane is a Speyside single malt Scotch from the Glenfiddich distillery, released without an age statement. Tasters score it 4.5 out of 5 across 39 reviews. It is tracked at 3 retailers, ranging from €44.36 to €59.00, while the valuation model estimates a fair price of around €74.73. That is 0.66× the model estimate — well below the quality-predicted price, and one of the clearer value picks in the data. It is one of 10 Glenfiddich bottlings priced here; the others are compared below.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
thewhiskyshop €44.36
topdrinks €48.95
whisky.fr €59.00

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
4.46 / 5
Age
No age statement
Region
Speyside
Distillery tier
Mid
Result
Predicted price
€74.73
Actual price (median)
€48.95
Multiple
0.66×
Verdict band
hidden gem (≤ 0.80×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.10/cl × 70 cl)
€7.00
Maturation (NAS→5 × €1.20/year)
€6.92
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.05
Cost floor
€14.62

NAS treated as 5 years for maturation cost (paper convention).

Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    own coopers; large-scale standard production
    1 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    43.0% ABV; chill-filtration not disclosed; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    1 / 3
  • Ownership
    William Grant & Sons (family corporate) — production-led corporate
    1 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1886 (140 years of operation)
    2 / 3
  • Reputation
    4.4615/5 across 39 reviews
    2 / 3
Quality score
7 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.58
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€23.14
Actual price (median)
€48.95
Multiple
2.12×
Verdict band
brand premium

The two models disagree sharply here. The deal-score regression learns from peer prices that age and brand command €74.73 (0.66× the listed price), while the cost-and-quality methodology floors the bottle at €23.14 (2.12×). The gap is the brand premium the market pays beyond what materials, maturation and bottling integrity alone can justify.

Maturation context

Speyside · rolling 12 months: 773 mm at Aberlour (6 km). Scotland N rolling 12-month rainfall2,209 mm, +28.20% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Glenfiddich