silkywhisky

LEDAIG 12 Years Old Douglas Laing

1.04× fair value 12yo rating 5.0/5 · n=2
cheapest
€75.90
whisky.fr
intrinsic
€73.08
N
1

Is it worth the price?

LEDAIG 12 Years Old Douglas Laing is an Island single malt Scotch from the Tobermory distillery, bottled at 12 years old. Tasters score it 5.0 out of 5 across 2 reviews. A single retailer lists it at €75.90, against a model fair price of around €73.08. That is 1.04× the model estimate — almost exactly what its age, strength and house predict, with no meaningful brand premium. The estimate is fitted on age, bottling strength and the distillery's other prices; community ratings add no measurable signal to it, so this is not a quality judgement. Typical error is around ±65%, so read the verdict as indicative and trust it most at the extremes. It is one of 6 Tobermory bottlings priced here; the others are compared below.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
whisky.fr €75.90

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
5.00 / 5
Age
12yo
Region
Island
Distillery tier
Mid Label only — set from the distillery’s median price, not used by the model.
Result
Predicted price
€73.08
Actual price (median)
€75.90
Multiple
1.04×
Verdict band
fair value (0.80× < … ≤ 1.20×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.18/cl × 70 cl)
€12.60
Maturation (12 × €1.20/year)
€21.64
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.21
Cost floor
€41.44
Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    produces both Tobermory and Ledaig
    2 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    48.4% ABV; non-chill-filtered inferred from ABV; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    2 / 3
  • Ownership
    Distell (Heineken) — independent or smaller group
    2 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1798 (228 years of operation)
    3 / 3
  • Reputation
    5.0/5 across 2 reviews
    2 / 3
Quality score
11 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.92
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€79.42
Actual price (median)
€75.90
Multiple
0.96×
Verdict band
fair value

Maturation context

Island · rolling 12 months: 2,313 mm at Tobermory (1 km). Scotland W rolling 12-month rainfall2,416 mm, +33.30% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Tobermory