silkywhisky
Bladnoch / Lowland

Bladnoch Vinaya

0.74× hidden gem NAS rating 4.2/5 · n=1
cheapest
€60.50
topdrinks
intrinsic
€87.93
N
2

Is it worth the price?

Bladnoch Vinaya is a Lowland single malt Scotch from the Bladnoch distillery, released without an age statement. Tasters score it 4.2 out of 5 across 1 reviews. It is tracked at 2 retailers, ranging from €60.50 to €68.87, while the valuation model estimates a fair price of around €87.93. That is 0.74× the model estimate — well below the quality-predicted price, and one of the clearer value picks in the data. Of the 2 Bladnoch bottlings priced here, this is the strongest value.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
topdrinks €60.50
thewhiskyshop €68.87

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
4.20 / 5
Age
No age statement
Region
Lowland
Distillery tier
Mid
Result
Predicted price
€87.93
Actual price (median)
€64.69
Multiple
0.74×
Verdict band
hidden gem (≤ 0.80×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.18/cl × 70 cl)
€12.60
Maturation (NAS→5 × €1.20/year)
€6.92
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.00
Cost floor
€19.52

NAS treated as 5 years for maturation cost (paper convention).

Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    small Lowland production; multiple closures incl. 1993-2015
    1 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    ABV not declared; chill-filtration not disclosed; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    0 / 3
  • Ownership
    David Prior (independent) — independent or smaller group
    2 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1817 (209 years of operation); closures incl. 1993-2015
    2 / 3
  • Reputation
    4.2/5 across 1 review
    0 / 3
Quality score
5 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.42
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€27.65
Actual price (median)
€64.69
Multiple
2.34×
Verdict band
brand premium

The two models disagree sharply here. The deal-score regression learns from peer prices that age and brand command €87.93 (0.74× the listed price), while the cost-and-quality methodology floors the bottle at €27.65 (2.34×). The gap is the brand premium the market pays beyond what materials, maturation and bottling integrity alone can justify.

Maturation context

Lowland · rolling 12 months: 1,272 mm at Sorbie (8 km). Scotland E rolling 12-month rainfall1,676 mm, +38.40% vs 1995-2024 median.

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