silkywhisky
Lagavulin / Islay

LAGAVULIN 12 Years Old 12th Release Of

1.64× mild premium 12yo rating 5.0/5 · n=1
cheapest
€185.00
whisky.fr
intrinsic
€112.77
N
1

Is it worth the price?

LAGAVULIN 12 Years Old 12th Release Of is an Islay single malt Scotch from the Lagavulin distillery, bottled at 12 years old. Tasters score it 5.0 out of 5 across 1 reviews. A single retailer lists it at €185.00, against a model fair price of around €112.77. That is 1.64× the model estimate — a mild premium over the quality-predicted price. Of the 4 Lagavulin bottlings priced here, this is the weakest value.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
whisky.fr €185.00

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
5.00 / 5
Age
12yo
Region
Islay
Distillery tier
Premium
Result
Predicted price
€112.77
Actual price (median)
€185.00
Multiple
1.64×
Verdict band
mild premium (1.20× < … ≤ 2.00×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.18/cl × 70 cl)
€12.60
Maturation (12 × €1.20/year)
€21.64
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.35
Cost floor
€46.23
Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    no declared distinctive practices
    2 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    56.1% ABV; non-chill-filtered inferred from ABV; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    3 / 3
  • Ownership
    Diageo (prestige range) — independent or smaller group
    2 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1816 (210 years of operation)
    3 / 3
  • Reputation
    5.0/5 across 1 review
    3 / 3
Quality score
13 / 18
Quality multiplier
×2.08
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€96.31
Actual price (median)
€185.00
Multiple
1.92×
Verdict band
mild premium

Maturation context

Islay · rolling 12 months: 1,867 mm at Dippen (40 km). Scotland W rolling 12-month rainfall2,543 mm, +39.90% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Lagavulin