silkywhisky

LAGAVULIN 8 Years Old

1.12× fair value 8yo rating 4.6/5 · n=24
cheapest
€49.40
topdrinks
intrinsic
€59.93
N
5

Is it worth the price?

LAGAVULIN 8 Years Old is an Islay single malt Scotch from the Lagavulin distillery, bottled at 8 years old. Tasters score it 4.6 out of 5 across 24 reviews. It is tracked at 5 retailers, ranging from €49.40 to €185.00, while the valuation model estimates a fair price of around €59.93. That is 1.12× the model estimate — almost exactly what its age, strength and house predict, with no meaningful brand premium. The estimate is fitted on age, bottling strength and the distillery's other prices; community ratings add no measurable signal to it, so this is not a quality judgement. Typical error is around ±65%, so read the verdict as indicative and trust it most at the extremes. It is one of 5 Lagavulin bottlings priced here; the others are compared below.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
topdrinks €49.40
Système U €55.45
thewhiskyshop €67.25
whisky.fr €72.00
whiskylodge €185.00

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
4.63 / 5
Age
8yo
Region
Islay
Distillery tier
Mid Label only — set from the distillery’s median price, not used by the model.
Result
Predicted price
€59.93
Actual price (median)
€67.25
Multiple
1.12×
Verdict band
fair value (0.80× < … ≤ 1.20×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.18/cl × 70 cl)
€12.60
Maturation (8 × €1.20/year)
€12.37
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.20
Cost floor
€29.97
Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    no declared distinctive practices
    2 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    48.0% ABV; non-chill-filtered inferred from ABV; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    2 / 3
  • Ownership
    Diageo (prestige range) — independent or smaller group
    2 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1816 (210 years of operation)
    3 / 3
  • Reputation
    4.625/5 across 24 reviews
    3 / 3
Quality score
12 / 18
Quality multiplier
×2.00
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€59.94
Actual price (median)
€67.25
Multiple
1.12×
Verdict band
fair value

Maturation context

Islay · rolling 12 months: 1,849 mm at Dippen (40 km). Scotland W rolling 12-month rainfall2,416 mm, +33.30% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Lagavulin